Opinion
Mensoian: Assessing Azerbaijan’s Military Threat to Retake Karabagh (Part I)
The United States director of intelligence, Dennis Blair, in written testimony to a Senate committee has said that "[A]lthough there has been progress in the past year toward Turkey-Armenian rapprochement, this has affected the delicate relationship between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and increases the risk of a renewed conflict over Nagorno-Karabagh."
This may not be as dire an assessment as suggested. The ability of Karabagh to maintain its independence and "prosper" has vexed and embarrassed t
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1. If Azeris attack they are going to try to retake Agdam and Fizuli. Given both are major cities bordering the front..that is about as self-evident comment as one can get.
2. NCO is defined. Why the quality of the NCO is “problemtic” area for the Azeris is never explained.
United States director of intelligence, Dennis Blair is not a military man.. he is politically motivated person and likes to see wars in Caucasus … If Aliev stop buying military hardware, then a war with Armenia is imminent.. where there is oil, there will be blood..
Good advices for Azeris. Armenian strategy must be not defensive. Don’t allow to bomb Stepanakert!
IT IS NOT DENIS BLAIR OR ANOYONE ,BUT GREAT TURKEY THAT IS ENCOURAGING ALIEV ,IN EXTENSION HIS CLAN ,HIS GOV.T TO KEEP ON GRINDIG THE SAME OXYDATED AXE.THAT OF ATTACKING NK.THIS CAN ONLY BE ATTRIBUTED TO R.OF TURKEY IN ORDER TO DIVERT ATTN:from the main/basic issue…that of recognition and reparations issue wth armejnians ..world AT LARGE. NEXT ON THE ARMENIANS’ AGENDA IS ,LET ALL KNOW CLAIM FOR “blood money” LIKE THE GERMANS PAID TO JEWS…INSRANCE COMPANIES TO HEIRS OF SURVIVORS OF THE ARMENIAN GENOCIDE.
WHY DO YOU THINK TURKISH FOREIGN MINSTRE’S FIRST REMARK AFTER SIGNING OF PROTOCOLS WAS “our border opening ad commencemet of diplomatic reations is contingent of ARTSAKH (NK) karabagh BEING PLACED UNDER AZERI JURISDICTION.IT IS AS SIMPLE AS THAT, THEY WISH TO DIVERT ALL ATTN; TO LATTER.SINCE APRIL 24 -95TH ANNIVERSARY IS COMING UP THEY ARE AFRAID THE U.S. AND U.K. MAY SUDDENLY CHANGE THEIR AGE OLD SUPPORT TO THEM AND SERVE TO ANOTHER SIDE…
THEY ARE VERY ANXIOUS FOR TIS LATTER MOVE..
FOR UNTILL WHEN DO THEY WISH TO DEPEND ON SUPPORT OF THE ANGLO-AM ALLIANCE IN SUPPORTING THE TURKISH REPUBLIC THAT NOT LLONG AGO WAS THEIR ADVERSAY…
REALIST…
as you all say Armenia liberated those occupied territories which are occupied in the views of Azeri Turks. Therefore, Armenians are the agressors as Armenia is trying to defend so called liberated territories but occupied by armenia to everyone else in the world. If armenia wants peace then they need to gracefully exit from Karabagh which belongs to its real owners, Azeris..
Turan
Mr. Mensoian,
This article had its highlights, its flaws, and its careless omissions. Mainly, you did not mention the main reason why Azerbaijan will not win the next war: it is incapable of carrying out an offensive and won’t be able to unless the demographic imbalance shifts from 1:3 to 1:6 — which is not happening anytime soon (if ever).
Real owners of Karabagh and current Azerbeijani territories(historical Armenian lands) belong to Armenians. Azeris and Turks are illegal alliens in there. So, please do a good favor, for once in your lives, to the original people in Caucasus and leave to Mongolia. Mongolia is the original nation of Turks and Azeris. Current Anatolia belongs to Armenians, Greeks, Syrians and Iraqise.
Armenia liberated those occupied territories FROM Turks. Therefore, TURKS ALWAYS BEEN THE aggressors as Armenia is trying to defend self and liberated territories If turk wants peace it needs to gracefully stop the aggressive rhetoric and return of the rest of Armenias territories which belongs to its real owners, the Armenians.